Antagoniste


16 avril 2014

Pas de panique Économie Environnement International Revue de presse

Financial Times

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Bogus prophecies of doom will not fix the climate
Financial Times

According to Monday’s report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a further warming of 2C could cause losses equivalent to 0.2-2 per cent of world gross domestic product. On current trends, that level of warming would happen some time in the second half of the 21st century. In other words, half a century of climate change is about as bad as losing one year of economic growth.

Since the start of the crisis in the eurozone, the income of the average Greek has fallen more than 20 per cent. Climate change is not, then, the biggest problem facing humankind. It is not even its biggest environmental problem. The World Health Organisation estimates that about 7m people are now dying each year as a result of air pollution. Even on the most pessimistic estimates, climate change is not expected to cause loss of life on that scale for another 100 years.

The writer is a professor at the University of Sussex and Vrije Universiteit in Amsterdam, and has served on the IPCC since 1994

Adopter des mesures coûteuses et inefficaces en prétextant qu’il est urgeant d’agir pour contrer un possible réchauffement climatique est probablement la pire des attitudes…


2 avril 2014

L’intégrisme vert Élection 2014 Environnement Europe Québec Revue de presse

The Guardian

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James Lovelock: environmentalism has become a religion
The Guardian

Environmentalism has « become a religion » and does not pay enough attention to facts, according to James Lovelock.

The 94 year-old scientist, famous for his Gaia hypothesis that Earth is a self-regulating, single organism, also said that he had been too certain about the rate of global warming in his past book, that « it’s just as silly to be a [climate] denier as it is to be a believer” and that fracking and nuclear power should power the UK, not renewable sources such as windfarms.

Speaking to the Guardian for an interview ahead of a landmark UN climate science report on Monday on the impacts of climate change, Lovelock said of the warnings of climate catastrophe in his 2006 book, Revenge of Gaia: « I was a little too certain in that book. You just can’t tell what’s going to happen. »

“It [the impact from climate change] could be terrible within a few years, though that’s very unlikely, or it could be hundreds of years before the climate becomes unbearable, » he said.

Talking about the environmental movement, Lovelock says: « It’s become a religion, and religions don’t worry too much about facts. » The retired scientist, who worked at the Medical Research Council, describes himself as an « old-fashioned green. »

L’intégrisme vert est la religion la plus dangereuse pour l’économie du Québec. C’est aussi la seule religion qui est n’est pas séparée de l’État et qui n’est pas ciblée par la charte du régime péquiste…


31 mars 2014

La mine basse Canada Économie Élection 2014 En Chiffres Environnement Europe Québec

Il y a presque un mois, l’Institut Fraser a publié son indice de développement minier, une enquête menée auprès de 690 dirigeants de l’industrie minière pour savoir quels étaient les endroits dans le monde les plus ouverts aux investissements. J’avais prévu parler de cette étude bien avant, mais avec le déclenchement des élections, elle était tombée sous mon radar.

Mieux vaut tard que jamais, alors voici l’indice de développement minier, pour les provinces canadiennes et les pays scandinaves (pays souvent cités en exemple…) avec des ressources minérales. Pas de bonnes nouvelles pour le Québec…

Mine Québec

Quelques constatations plutôt troublantes:

  • Il y a 4 ans à peine, le Québec était confortablement installé en 1ere position, tant au Canada qu’à l’échelle mondiale.  Aujourd’hui, nous avons été relégués au 6e rang au Canada et 21e rang mondial.
  • Le Québec fait moins bien que l’ensemble des pays scandinaves, pourtant des modèles de social-démocraties par notre gauche.  La Suède occupe le 1er rang mondial.
  • Dans la majorité des provinces canadiennes et la totalité des pays scandinaves, l’indice s’est amélioré depuis 2009/2010. Le Québec est l’endroit qui a subi la chute la plus importante de son indice (-21,8%).

Si les provinces de l’Ouest et les pays scandinaves sont riches et que le Québec est pauvre, ce n’est pas à cause du pétrole, mais plutôt parce que le socialisme et l’éco-catastrophisme n’ont pas infecté l’économie leur économie.

Pour prendre la pleine mesure de la détérioration des conditions économiques au Québec pour les entreprises pétrolières, voici l’évolution de notre position dans le classement:

Mine Québec

Une chute vertigineuse. Certaines personnes pourraient croire que l’adoption de la nouvelle loi sur les mines en décembre 2013 pourrait redonner au Québec une place enviable au classement. Personnellement, j’en doute.  La nouvelle loi, fruit de la collaboration entre le régime péquiste et François Legault, représente une réglementation supplémentaire et un boulet économique pour les entreprises minières. Au mieux, on va stopper la chute, mais il sera difficile de remonter au haut de l’échelle.

Et à tous ceux qui se questionnent sur l’utilité d’avoir une industrie minière florissante, voyez par vous-même…

Québec mine

Les gens qui travaillent dans le domaine de l’extraction minière et pétrolière gagnent 1 683$/semaine, presque le double de la moyenne de tous les secteurs, qui se chiffre à 897$/semaine.

Voilà qui devrait être pris en considération dans l’éternel (et inutile) débat sur les redevances. Car les emplois créés et les salaires versés, c’est aussi des redevances !

Sources:
Fraser Institute
Survey of Mining Companies: 2013

Statistique Canada
Tableau 281-0027


31 mars 2014

Opportunité ratée Économie Environnement États-Unis Europe Mondialisation Revue de presse

The Guardian

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European leaders ask Obama to allow increased exports of US shale gas
The Guardian

European leaders on Wednesday asked Barack Obama to share the US’s shale gas bonanza with Europe by facilitating gas exports to help counter the stranglehold Russia has on the continent’s energy needs.

With Russia’s gas monopoly, Gazprom, supplying a quarter of Europe’s gas needs, and almost all of the gas in parts of eastern Europe, the energy issue has soared to the top of Europe’s strategic agenda as a result of the Ukrainian crisis and the fear that the Kremlin will be able to blackmail Europe if a threatened trade war erupts.

Herman Van Rompuy and José Manuel Barroso, presidents of the European council and the European commission respectively, asked Obama to come up with measures that would favour European companies obtaining licences to export US shale gas in liquid form to Europe.

While European access to the US shale gas revolution is currently constrained by American licensing procedures, a successful conclusion of ongoing ambitious trade talks aimed at creating a transatlantic free trade area would also hasten European access to American gas.

Un rappel pour vous dire que personne n’a parlé gaz de schiste dans cette campagne électorale. Une autre opportunité d’enrichir le Québec qui a été ratée… Pendant ce temps, les Américains pourront s’enrichir en exportant leur gaz vers l’Europe…


24 mars 2014

L’hiver québécois Économie Élection 2014 Environnement Québec Revue de presse

Los Angeles Times

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Electric cars can go only half as far in freezing weather, AAA finds
Los Angeles Times

Testing by AAA has found that how far an electric vehicle can travel on one charge varies widely depending on the weather. Frigid temperatures can reduce that distance by 57%.

The research is important to the Automobile Club of Southern California because it maintains mobile recharging trucks for people who misjudge how far they can go in their electric car. “EV drivers need to carefully monitor range in hot and cold weather,” said Steve Mazor, the engineer who manages the Southern California club’s Automotive Research Center.

The center conducted tests on a 2013 Nissan Leaf, a 2012 Mitsubishi iMiEV and the electric version of a 2014 Ford Focus.

The cars were tested for city driving to mimic stop-and-go traffic and to better compare with Environmental Protection Agency ratings listed on the window sticker, AAA said.

The average EV battery range in AAA’s test was 105 miles at 75 degrees but dropped 57% to just 43 miles at 20 degrees. Heat also sliced the cars’ ranges but by not as much: The cars averaged 69 miles per full charge at 95 degrees, 33% less than in 75-degree weather.

Ce lundi 24 mars, on prévoit un minium de -18°C à Montréal… Et pendant ce temps au PQ on parle d’électrifier les transports


13 mars 2014

Feu vert au gaz de schiste Économie Environnement Europe

The Guardian

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EU parliament excludes shale gas from tougher environmental code
The Guardian

EU politicians on Wednesday voted for tougher rules on exposing the environmental impact of oil and conventional gas exploration, while excluding shale gas. Member states such as Britain and Poland are pushing hard for the development of shale gas, seen as one way to lessen dependence on Russian gas, as well as to lower energy costs as it has in the United States.

Industry said the new law avoided placing too many restrictions on projects during their early phases when commercial viability is unclear.

“While not imposing unnecessary requirements on the upstream oil and gas industry, the new rules will guarantee that any development, including exploration for shale gas, will be subject to strict environmental standards,” Roland Festor, director for EU affairs at the International Association of Oil & Gas Producers, said.

Shale Gas Europe, which brings together companies such as Chevron, Total and Cuadrilla Resources, also welcomed the law. “Shale gas could potentially play an important role in meeting Europe’s acute energy challenges,” Marcus Pepperell, spokesman for Shale Gas Europe, said.

L’Europe fait tout le contraire du Québec en accueillant à bras ouverts l’industrie des gaz de schiste. Ce n’est pas un hasard si le Québec est si pauvre


11 mars 2014

Hiver record… Canada Environnement États-Unis Revue de presse

USA Today

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North American snow cover at 3rd-highest level on record
USA Today

As of Tuesday, North America is covered by the third-highest amount of snow this late in the season since records began in 1966, according to NOAA’s U.S. National Ice Center. Only 1969 and 1978 had more snow cover at this point in the year, according to Sean Helfrich of NOAA’s National Ice Center.

This data includes both the U.S. and Canada, reported New Jersey state climatologist and Rutgers University geography professor David Robinson.

« Given that the vast majority of Canada is snow-covered at this time of the year (except in a very mild early March), the signal is virtually entirely a function of snow extent variations in the lower 48, » he said in an e-mail.

As for the U.S. alone, over 50% of the nation is snow-covered, the most for March 5 in at least the last 10 years.

Great Lakes ice extent is also very high: 91% of the Great Lakes are ice covered, the second-highest percentage on record.

En 2008, des réchauffistes annonçaient la fin de l’hiver aux États-Unis… Malheureusement, ils se sont trompés.


5 mars 2014

Mauvaise nouvelle pour Hydro-Québec Économie Environnement États-Unis Québec Revue de presse

Denver Business Journal

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ConocoPhillips CEO: Shale boom is only in the ‘first inning’
Denver Business Journal

Ryan Lance, CEO-chairman of ConocoPhillips, says that the shale gas « revolution » in the country is only just beginning and there should be several decades left of successful energy production.

In comparing the natural gas boom to baseball, Lance said: « We’re in the first inning of a nine-inning game on the shale revolution in the United States. »

Houston-based ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is heavily invested in domestic natural gas production. The energy giant has targeted Colorado’s portion of the Niobrara Formation, and early last year leased mineral rights at the old Lowry bombing range in Aurora.

« What people are learning is we’ve only scratched the surface on what technology can do to improve that outlook over the years, » Lance said. « This is a layer that is going to last for quite some time. »

La poursuite du boom gazier aux États-Unis est une très mauvaise nouvelle pour Hydro-Québec et par extension pour les Québécois. Le gaz de schiste aux États-Unis réduit le prix de l’électricité ce qui a pour conséquence directe de rendre nos éoliennes et les nouveaux barrages non rentables. Résultats: on devra se farcir de nombreuses hausses des prix de l’électricité au cours des prochaines années.

Tout ça à cause d’une haine irrationnelle des Québécois pour le gaz de schiste…


4 mars 2014

La catastrophe imaginaire Économie Environnement International Revue de presse

The Washington Post

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Buffett: Climate change not causing more disasters
The Washington Post

Warren Buffett says the rate of disasters that Berkshire Hathaway’s insurance companies see hasn’t changed because of extreme weather. Buffett said on CNBC Monday that he hasn’t made any change in the way he calculates the likelihood of a catastrophe because of climate change.

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. owns several insurance and reinsurance funds and often has to pay significant claims when natural disasters strike. Buffett says insuring against hurricanes in the United States has been extremely profitable in the past five years because few storms have made landfall.

Berkshire’s chairman and CEO recounted the performance of the Omaha, Neb., based conglomerate in his annual letter Saturday. Strong insurance results helped Berkshire earn $19.48 billion last year on $182.15 billion revenue. That’s up from earnings of $14.82 billion on $162.46 billion revenue in 2012.

J’ai souvent entendu des enverdeurs nous dire qu’à cause du réchauffement climatique, les assureurs augmentaient les primes… Je sais maintenant que les enverdeurs qui ont tenu un tel discours racontaient n’importe quoi.


27 février 2014

Poutine et le gaz de schiste Économie Environnement Europe Revue de presse

The Globe And Mail

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How fracking weakens Gazprom, the bedrock beneath Putin’s feet
The Globe And Mail

When the head of Bulgaria’s state gas company sat down with officials from Russian energy giant Gazprom a couple of months ago to negotiate a new supply contract, it should have been an unremarkable event. Not this time.

For years, there had been no real negotiations: Bulgaria imports all its gas from Gazprom and the Russians simply dictated the terms of any deal and charged the small country up to four times the going price for natural gas. But this time Bulgaria pushed back and demanded a 20-per-cent discount. To the shock of many analysts, Gazprom agreed.

The concessions to Bulgaria were just the latest example of a seismic shift in energy geopolitics that is under way as Gazprom’s dominance fades. But now Gazprom is under threat. Over the past five years, the technology known as hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, has unlocked vast amounts of shale gas in the United States, Canada, North Africa and the Middle East. Suddenly gas is in abundance, prices are falling and the possibilities of shipping liquefied natural gas, or LNG, on tankers around the world seem endless.

Mr. Putin has tried to hit back, deriding fracking as dangerous and warning the EU that its competition probe could result in less gas flowing to the West.

Maintenant que l’on sait que Vladimir Poutine déteste le gaz de schiste, le processus de réconciliation entre le président russe et la gauche peut débuter.


26 février 2014

Locomotive économique Économie Environnement États-Unis Revue de presse

The Bismarck Tribune

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Clothing the workers: Oil boom creates business for laundries, clothes sales
The Bismarck Tribune

North Dakota’s protective clothing and work-wear industry has a boost from the oil boom. The amount of business has increased one local laundering service’s workload and enticed another to move to the area. Clothing and shoe stores in the area have expanded to carry the gear workers need.

AmeriPride’s Bismarck operation is one of the fastest growing company wide, mostly due to business from the oil and gas industry, Communications Director Ben Saukko said. “Those branches (near an oil field) are growing exponentially more than the company as a whole,” he said.

Washers that can handle between 500 and 1,000 pounds of greasy uniforms, door mats, towels and aprons tumble nearly 24 hours a day at AmeriPride’s plant in south Bismarck.

Looking at the bags, bins and the overhead conveyor belt, one sees lots of coveralls. In the last three years, the oil and gas industry has become a significant part of Ameripride’s customer base, Siebels said. Whenever a customer hires a new employee, AmeriPride takes the employee’s measurements to find a uniform to fit. The company carries fire retardant clothing and other protective gear specifically needed to work in the oil industry.

C’est un petit rappel que la richesse provenant de l’exploitation des ressources naturelles ne vient pas nécessairement, comme on le pense au Québec, de redevances confiscatoires. Les emplois directs et indirects créés par cette industrie représentent la seule vraie richesse associée à l’exploitation des ressources.

Je vous signale en passant que, contrairement au Québec, dans le Dakota du Nord, le gouvernement n’a pas eu besoin de donner plus de 100 millions en subvention pour que l’industrie pétrolière et gazière s’installe.


13 février 2014

Catastrophe Économie En Chiffres Environnement International

Selon une étude qui se veut sérieuse, le coût associé aux « catastrophes climatiques » a été en moyenne de 200 milliards de dollars par année lors de la dernière décennie. Ça peut sembler un gros montant, mais il est important de relativiser les choses…

Voici comment se comparent le coût associé aux « catastrophes climatiques » et l’explosion des dettes gouvernementales durant la dernière décennie:

Climat Économie

Le débat est clos: l’augmentation de l’endettement fait beaucoup plus peur que l’augmentation du niveau de la mer !

Source:
Economist Intelligence Unit
The global debt clock


12 février 2014

Énergie verte: une farce dispendieuse… Économie Environnement Europe Revue de presse

Der Spiegel

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Gone With the Wind: Weak Returns Cripple German Renewables
Der Spiegel

Investments in renewable energy were supposed to be a sure thing, with wind park operators promising annual returns of up to 20 percent. More often than not, however, such pledges have been illusory — and many investors have lost their principal to boot.

The result is sobering. On average, investors have received an annual return of just 2.5 percent. « Over the course of 10 years, that means a return of 25 percent, while according to the prospectus they were to have already seen returns of between 60 and 80 percent. »

Even if returns were to increase dramatically in the coming years — a possible result, for example, of funds paying down their debts — only wind parks in the best locations are likely to prove profitable. The picture becomes even worse once one digs into the details. A fifth of all wind parks for which more than 10 years of annual reports are available haven’t once paid their investors a dividend exceeding 2 percent of their investments.

Je vais répéter que l’Allemagne est un pays souvent cité en exemple par les enverdeurs québécois… Si l’éolien ça ne fonctionne pas là-bas, ça aucune chance de fonctionne ici.


11 février 2014

Réchauffement climatique, tout et son contraire Coup de gueule Environnement International

En 2010, un « consensus scientifique » a annoncé que le réchauffement climatique allait réduire la taille des vagues:

Global Warming

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CSIRO research commissioned by the federal government predicted small but significant falls in likely wave heights as temperatures rose. Their June 2010 research said wave heights could fall by a “relatively robust” 5mm-10mm.

En 2014, un « consensus scientifique » a annoncé que le réchauffement climatique allait augmenter la taille des vagues::

Big waves are energetically costly for fish, and there are more big waves than ever. “There has been a lot of recent work in oceanography documenting the fact that waves are becoming more frequent and more intense due to climate change,” says Mr Dominique Roche, PhD candidate from the Research School of Biology.

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Global Warming

En 1992 Al Gore déclarait à propos du réchauffement climatique: « The time for debate is over. The science is settled. »

À lire aussi:


11 février 2014

Régression écologique Économie Environnement États-Unis Europe Mondialisation Revue de presse

Financial Times

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Energy price gap with the US to hurt Europe for ‘at least 20 years’
Financial Times

High gas and electricity prices will continue to plague Europe for at least 20 years, damaging the competitiveness of industries that employ almost 30m people, the world’s leading energy forecaster has warned.

In findings likely to inflame claims EU climate change policies are damaging the bloc’s manufacturers, the International Energy Agency said Europe will lose a third of its global market share of energy-intensive exports over the next two decades because energy prices will stay stubbornly higher than those in the US.

A number of EU countries have embraced green energy subsidies, shunned nuclear power and resisted the shale exploration that has fuelled a manufacturing renaissance in the US, prompting growing anger among industry leaders who say this has been a recipe for competitive ruin.

Fatih Birol, the IEA’s chief economist, said environmental policies alone had not pushed up energy costs but the price gap between the EU and the US was going to last much longer than some expected. “This is a new thing and it’s structural. It’s not a one-off,” he told the Financial Times. “Europe didn’t realise the seriousness of this competitive issue,” he said, warning the situation raises concern for the almost 30m people working in heavy industries such as iron, steel and petrochemicals across the continent.

Les politiques verdoyantes de l’Europe auront des conséquences négatives sur l’économie pour les 20 prochaines années. Si c’est vrai pour l’Europe, c’est aussi vrai pour le Québec qui a en grande partie copié les politiques européennes…