Antagoniste


20 avril 2015

Quand l’austérité est nécessaire Économie Europe Revue de presse

The Guardian

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Greece at substantial risk of default, say experts
The Guardian

Greece is at substantial risk of a default, one of the world’s three leading ratings agencies said on Wednesday, as it downgraded the debt of the struggling eurozone country.

Standard & Poor’s said the drawn out negotiations between Athens and its creditors were damaging the economy and had resulted in a fresh cut in Greece’s credit rating, which is already at junk-bond status.

“Without deep economic reform or further relief, we expect Greece’s debt and other financial commitments will be unsustainable,” said S&P. It cut Greece’s rating to CCC+/C from B-/B, a level it considers puts the country at “substantial risk” of a default.

Interest rates on two-year Greek bonds stand at almost 24%, an indication that investors expect the country either to have its debt burden eased or to default.

The Syriza-led coalition has been at loggerheads with the so-called Troika of the International Monetary Fund, the European Central Bank and the European Union since coming to power in late January. Athens has been told that unless it submits a revised economic plan to Brussels, eurozone finance ministers may decide not to provide Greece with financial help to pay its debts.

Des cabochons en Grèce ont élu des communistes en s’imaginant que cela les mettait à l’abri de « l’austérité »…

Les cabochons viennent de comprendre que quand il n’y a plus d’argent, même les communistes n’ont pas le choix de mettre en place un régime d’austérité…

Que ça serve de leçon au Québécois.


15 avril 2015

Petite défaite pour les communistes en Europe Économie Europe Mondialisation Revue de presse

Le Figaro

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L’Europe tourne la page de trente ans de quotas laitiers
Le Figaro

C’est fini. Depuis le 1er avril, le système administré des quotas laitiers, mis en place il y a trente et un ans dans l’Union européenne, est révolu. Le monde sucrier devra, lui, attendre 2017 pour que des contraintes de production analogues soient abolies. C’est une vraie révolution, à la fois pour les agriculteurs et tous les industriels du lait.

Les quotas, qui ont encadré l’économie laitière depuis 1984, trouvent leurs racines dans l’après-guerre: il faut alors produire plus pour assurer l’autosuffisance alimentaire du continent. Des subventions à tout ont stimulé la production. La politique agricole commune (PAC) voit ainsi le jour en 1962. Mais les prix garantis mis en place conduisent rapidement à une production laitière excédentaire. Cela entraîne la formation de stocks de plus en plus coûteux à gérer par Bruxelles. Les quotas sont alors instaurés pour maîtriser cette production et garantir ainsi un revenu stable aux agriculteurs.

Conséquence, les agriculteurs européens peuvent dorénavant produire les quantités qu’ils veulent. Mais ils sont également soumis à une plus forte volatilité des prix auxquels ils livrent leur lait. Ce prix est désormais indexé sur le cours mondial de la poudre de lait et du beurre. Cette source d’instabilité pour les producteurs comme pour les transformateurs est aussi source d’opportunités. «La fin des quotas correspond à une augmentation de la consommation de produits laitiers dans les pays émergents», rappelle un expert du secteur. L’Asie, l’Amérique du Sud et l’Afrique font aujourd’hui figure d’eldorados pour des industriels impatients d’y vendre leurs produits.

Quand vous entendrez un communiste de l’UPA dire qu’il est impossible d’abolir les quotas en agriculture, vous pourrez lui répondre que c’est de la bullshit !

N’oublions pas que ces quotas appauvrissent la population: ici et ici.


14 avril 2015

Quand Silicon Valley rencontre le schiste Économie Environnement États-Unis Revue de presse

The Globe And Mail

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Hi-tech and Big Data offer hope to battered U.S. oil industry
The Globe And Mail

The tech geeks are coming to the oil industry’s rescue.

With the price of crude plumbing lows not seen since 2009, Royal Dutch Shell, Whiting Petroleum Corp and many others are turning to rocket fuel, Big Data, lasers, spectrometers and other new or revamped technologies to do more for less. In dramatic contrast, the average market share for the U.S. in recent years has shot up to 23 per cent from 16 per cent, according to a study conducted for the Quebec federation by consultants Forest Lavoie.

It is too early to judge whether the new tools can produce gains similar to those of the past six years, when well output kept rising at double-digit rates and the time needed to drill and frack new wells dwindled to about 10 days from 40. But U.S. shale oil producers have a history of repeatedly exceeding expectations with their ability to innovate and lift productivity.

Scott Johnson, a petroleum engineering professor at the University of North Dakota, says new technologies do have the potential to help the industry offset the impact of lost jobs and spending cuts.

« Companies are often so busy when prices are high, they don’t have an opportunity to take a look at new technology, » said Johnson, who is leading a high-tech analysis of core samples taken from across the state’s Bakken shale formation.

« That’s why they want the engineers to think out of the box and take new opportunities especially when prices are low. »

Au Québec, on aime bien dire, de manière condescendante, que nous favorisons l’économie du savoir au lieu d’exploiter bêtement nos ressources naturelles; une manière de se faire croire qu’on est plus intelligent que tout le monde…

Or, les ressources naturelles c’est aussi l’économie du savoir. Mais le Québec ne deviendra jamais un leader technologique dans ce domaine, car des curés ont décidé qu’il ne fallait pas exploiter notre pétrole et notre gaz de schiste, c’est écrit dans leur bible.


13 avril 2015

Greenpeace: la contre-attaque ! Environnement International Revue de presse

The Washington Post

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Why India is at war with Greenpeace
The Washington Post

India’s environmental war are heating up.

On Thursday, India suspended Greenpeace India’s ability to receive foreign funds and froze its bank accounts on Thursday, the latest in a series of run-ins the global green watchdog has had with the government here in the past five years.

The government said the group had « prejudicially affected the economic interest of the state. »

In recent months, the group has mounted a massive protest to block coal mining project in central India, even as the government is trying kickstart a number of stalled industrial projects across the country. A secret intelligence agency note, leaked to the local media last year, had called the group’s activities a threat to “national economic security.”

An official in the government told the NDTV 24×7 news television on Thursday that Greenpeace had done “very little field work” and had also violated rules about how to spend foreign funds it received.

Pour protéger ses intérêts économiques, l’Inde a gelé les comptes bancaires de Greenpeace et interdit les dons provenant de l’étranger.

Ce serait merveilleux si les politiciens canadiens ou québécois avaient le même courage.

Greenpeace est une organisation dogmatique qui donne plus important aux arbres qu’aux humains, le gouvernement devrait faire tout en son pouvoir pour empoisonner la vie de cette organisation qui appauvrit les Québécois.


9 avril 2015

C’est TOUJOURS la faute du réchauffement ! Coup de gueule Environnement États-Unis Revue de presse

The Washington Times

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Obama: Malia’s asthma attack made climate change personal
The Washington Times

President Obama says climate change first became a personal issue for him when his 16-year-old daughter was rushed to the hospital 12 years ago after suffering from an asthma attack.

“What I can relate to is the fear a parent has, when your 4-year-old daughter comes up to you and says, ‘Daddy, I’m having trouble breathing.’ The fright you feel is terrible,” the president told ABC News in an interview broadcast Wednesday.

“And if we can make sure that our responses to the environment are reducing those incidents, that’s something that I think every parent would wish for,” Mr. Obama said. “And the good news is there are concrete steps we can take to do something about it.”

The White House announced this week a series of initiatives to deal with the impact of climate change on public health, including the upcoming White House Climate Change and Health Summit, ABC News reported.

Les records de froid l’hiver, ce n’est pas une preuve de l’erreur des réchauffistes…

L’absence de tornades, ce n’est pas une preuve de l’erreur des réchauffistes…

L’absence d’ouragans, ce n’est pas une preuve de l’erreur des réchauffistes…

L’absence de fonte des glaces aux pôles, ce n’est pas une preuve de l’erreur des réchauffistes…

Par contre, une crise d’asthme de la fille d’Obama qui est arrivée il y a 12 ans, c’est une preuve irréfutable et indiscutable du réchauffement climatique… Le cerveau des réchauffistes a une logique indéchiffrable.


8 avril 2015

Le sirop soviétique Économie États-Unis Gauchistan Québec Revue de presse

The Globe And Mail

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Quebec losing hold over maple syrup industry to U.S. competition
The Globe And Mail (Sep. 20 2011)

The giant of the global maple syrup industry is losing some of its swagger. The Federation of Quebec Maple Syrup Producers, which represents most of the province’s maple syrup harvesters, is increasingly feeling the pressure from growing competition south of the border, particularly in Vermont, New York and Maine.

Quebec has long dominated the maple syrup scene, holding some 80 per cent or more of world production in years past, partly by maintaining a strictly enforced supply-management, marketing and quality-control system. But aggressive U.S. rivals have made inroads, reducing the province’s market share to an average of 72 per cent over the past three years, said Paul Rouillard, deputy director of the 7,300-member federation.

In dramatic contrast, the average market share for the U.S. in recent years has shot up to 23 per cent from 16 per cent, according to a study conducted for the Quebec federation by consultants Forest Lavoie.

The federation stockpiles an enormous “strategic reserve” of maple syrup to stabilize the price, and has come under fire for imposing quotas on its members. It has seen some Quebec producers shift their operations to the U.S., Mr. Rouillard said.

“There are tremendous opportunities for growth in the U.S. – particularly Vermont, New York, Maine – and some businesses are being started by Canadians,” said Tim Perkins, director of the Proctor Maple Research Center at the University of Vermont.

“They can’t grow in Canada because of the [Quebec] quota system, so they come across the border and make syrup here.”

Le Québec était un champion mondial de la production de sirop d’érable, mais il a fallu que le gouvernement vienne tout gâcher en imposant un système de gestion de l’offre…

Et parions que le gouvernement va tenter de solutionner le problème qu’il a lui-même créé avec des subventions…


7 avril 2015

La sécheresse verte Environnement États-Unis Revue de presse

The Wall Street Journal

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California’s Green Drought
The Wall Street Journal

The liberals who run California have long purported that their green policies are a free (organic) lunch, but the bills are coming due. Lo, Governor Jerry Brown has mandated a 25% statewide reduction in water use. Consider this rationing a surcharge for decades of environmental excess.

Weather is of course the chief source of California’s water woes. During normal years, the state should replenish reservoirs. However, environmental regulations require that about 4.4 million acre-feet of water—enough to sustain 4.4 million families and irrigate one million acres of farmland—be diverted to ecological purposes. Even in dry years, hundreds of thousands of acre feet of runoff are flushed into San Francisco Bay to protect fish in the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta.

During the last two winters amid the drought, regulators let more than 2.6 million acre-feet out into the bay. The reason: California lacked storage capacity north of the delta, and environmental rules restrict water pumping to reservoirs south. After heavy rains doused northern California this February, the State Water Resources Control Board dissipated tens of thousands of more acre-feet. Every smelt matters.

Increased surface storage would give regulators more latitude to conserve water during heavy storm-flows and would have allowed the state to stockpile larger reserves during the 15 years that preceded the last drought. Yet no major water infrastructure project has been completed in California since the 1960s. Meantime, green groups won’t allow new storage regardless—and perhaps because—of the benefits. California’s Department of Water Resources calculates that the proposed Sites Reservoir, which has been in the planning stages since the 1980s, could provide enough additional water during droughts to sustain seven million Californians for a year.

On savait déjà que la sécheresse en Californie n’était ni exceptionnelle ni causée par le réchauffement climatique, puisqu’on avait prévu que le réchauffement climatique allait faire augmenter les précipitations en Californie. On sait maintenant aussi que les écologistes, avec leurs politiques dogmatiques, ont empiré le problème en empêchant la construction de réservoir pour faire face plus adéquatement aux périodes de sécheresse.


27 mars 2015

L’effet libéral Économie Québec Revue de presse

Bloomberg BusinessWeek

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Quebec Austerity Makes Bonds Tops Among Provinces
Bloomberg BusinessWeek

Quebec’s vow to balance its budget for the first time in six years is looking a lot more credible in the eyes of bond investors. The yield investors demand to buy Quebec 10-year bonds has dropped to 2.2 percent from 3.5 percent a year ago, reducing the premium to the federal government to the least since 2013, Bloomberg pricing data show.

Quebec bonds are also outperforming provincial peers as Finance Minister Carlos Leitao pledges spending cuts, a civil-service freeze and higher fees for the province’s much-vaunted daycare system amid a government drive to balance the budget in 2015-16. Quebec’s austerity drive belies its reputation as one of Canada’s biggest spenders and contrasts with Ontario, which isn’t projecting a balanced budget until 2017-18.

“There are very strong elements helping to support the Quebec name in the markets,” Marc Rouleau, a fund manager at Manulife Asset Management in Montreal, said in a telephone interview. “Good fiscal policy, a believable government, excellent supply-and-demand dynamics and a trading partner that seems to be doing increasingly well — all of this provides greater confidence for the outlook of the province.”

Yields on Quebec bonds relative to federal government debt have narrowed by nine basis points this year, or 0.09 percentage point, to 74 basis points as of March 9, the best performance among provinces included in the Bank of America Merrill Lynch Canadian Provincial and Municipal Index.

Qu’on aime ou pas les libéraux, les faits sont là et le verdict est sans appel. Quand le PQ dirigeait le Québec, nous étions vus comme une province de cabochon par les marchés financiers. Depuis que les libéraux sont là, nous sommes devenus la meilleure province au Canada !

C’est une preuve indiscutable que l’austérité fonctionne, c’est probablement pourquoi nos bons médias n’ont pas parlé de cette nouvelle…


26 mars 2015

L’apartheid Israël Palestine Revue de presse

The Jerusalem Post

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Science, Technology and Space Ministry names Arab chemical engineer its deputy chief scientist
The Jerusalem Post

Dr. Tareq Abu Hamed, a resident of the Sur Bahir neighborhood in southeastern Jerusalem, has been selected by public tender to become deputy chief scientist of the Science, Technology and Space Ministry, ministry director-general Ido Sharir announced on Monday.

A few years ago, the ministry’s deputy chief scientist was an Israeli Arab from the North.

Abu Hamed, a chemical engineer who competed against two other candidates, is replacing Dr. Victor Weiss who is retiring. Abu Hamed was educated in eastern Jerusalem schools, and he received his first three academic degrees in Turkey.

He was praised for his “proven record of scientific activity and the integration of research in the field with many scientific publications.”

In 2013, Abu Hamed joined the Science Ministry in the field of engineering and applied science and ran an operation involving 23 research projects totaling NIS 29 million. At the same time, he started studying for a second master’s degree in public policy at the Hebrew University in Jerusalem. He has published more than 40 scientific articles and received scholarships and awards for his work, including the Dan David Prize for social responsibility and environmental quality.

Benjamin Netanyahu a nommé un député palestinien à un poste très prestigieux de son administration…

Pourtant, la bonne gauche n’arrête pas de nous dire qu’Israël pratique l’apartheid…


25 mars 2015

La sécheresse californienne Environnement États-Unis Revue de presse

Journal of Climate

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Recent California Water Year Precipitation Deficits: A 440-year Perspective
Journal of Climate

An analysis of the October 2013–September 2014 precipitation in the western United States and in particular over the California-Nevada region suggests this anomalously dry season, while extreme, is not unprecedented in comparison with the ~120-year long instrumental record of water year (WY, October–September) totals, and in comparison with a 407-year WY precipitation reconstruction back to 1571. Over this longer period nine other years are known or estimated to have been nearly as dry or drier than WY 2014. The three-year deficit for WY’s 2012–2014, which in the California-Nevada region exceeded the annual mean precipitation, is more extreme but also not unprecedented, occurring three other times over the past ~ 440 years in the reconstruction. WY precipitation has also been deficient on average for the past 14 years, and such a run of predominantly dry WY’s is also a rare occurrence in our merged reconstructed plus instrumental period record.

Pour beaucoup de réchauffistes, la sécheresse en Californie est une preuve accablante de l’existence du réchauffement climatique.

Ces réchauffistes seront déçus d’apprendre, tel qu’expliqué dans cette étude publiée la semaine dernière, que ce phénomène s’est déjà produit à de nombreuses reprises dans le passé.

D’ailleurs, les modèles avaient prévu que le réchauffement climatique allait faire augmenter les précipitations sur la partie de la Californie qui est aujourd’hui privée d’eau.


24 mars 2015

Indépendance et fondation d’un pays: mode d’emploi Économie International Revue de presse

South China Morning Post

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Lee Kuan Yew gave Singapore a republic, and the poetry came later
South China Morning Post

To capture the essence of Singapore’s former prime minister, Lee Kuan Yew, you could point to the fact that Richard Nixon once described him as a man who « might have attained the world stature of a Churchill, a Disraeli, or a Gladstone » were he born in another country. Or the fact that Lee has served as a mentor to the likes of Deng Xiaoping and Xi Jinping . Or, more recently, Obama’s assessment that Lee is a « legendary figure of Asia in the 20th and 21st centuries ».

I had none of this perspective while growing up in 1980s Singapore. Gently chided by courtesy campaigns, reminded to save for a rainy day, nurtured and buttressed by Lee’s unique blend of Confucian ethics and Western-style capitalist ideals, all I knew was my Singapore – a dizzying blend of Chinese, Malays, Indians and Eurasians, all jostling for recognition on that tiny island. And it was up to us to sprint to the finish line once the baton was handed over. Except some of us viewed the race itself with scepticism.

« Don’t go wild with your imagination, » my English teacher wrote in the margins. « Very self-indulgent! » was scrawled on the next page, in angry red ink. This was the flip side of Lee’s Singapore. An emerging city state with no natural resources, no agriculture, and a tepid-at-best relationship with its closest neighbours, Singapore needed doctors, engineers, teachers and lawyers. There was no room for whimsy or creativity, a perspective neatly summed up by Lee’s maxim that « poetry is a luxury we cannot afford. What is important for pupils is not literature, but a philosophy of life ».

Je m’en serais voulu de ne pas souligner le décès de Lee Kuan Yew, le père fondateur de Singapour. En l’espace de 30 ans, Lee Kuan Yew a fait de cette petite île, sans ressources naturelles et dépendante des sweatshops, l’économie la plus libre et la plus riche du monde industrialisé.

Ce qui est intéressant dans l’histoire de Lee Kuan Yew, ce sont les moyens qu’il a pris pour faire prospérer cette ancienne colonie britannique. Lee Kuan Yew a misé sur le capitalisme, une société qui était le fruit d’un extraordinaire métissage culturel, sur l’apprentissage de l’anglais et sur une éducation qui a donné la priorité aux sciences dures plutôt qu’aux sciences molles.

Bref, Lee Kuan Yew était aux antipodes des péquistes… Singapour est devenue un îlot de richesse, le Québec est resté un îlot de pauvreté… On a peu parlé du décès de Lee Kuan Yew au Québec…

P.-S. Dans les écoles primaires de Singapour, on apprend la comptine suivante aux élèves: Good, better, best. Never let it rest. Till your good is better and your better, best.

Quelques billets que j’ai écrit sur Singapour au fils des années:


23 mars 2015

Changement climatique Environnement États-Unis Revue de presse

The Washington Post

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Silent spring: No severe thunderstorm or tornado watches issued so far in March
The Washington Post

For the first time in 45 years, the National Weather Service has yet to issue a single severe thunderstorm or tornado watch this deep into March.

“We are in uncharted territory with respect to lack of severe weather”, said Greg Carbin, warning coordination meteorologist for the NWS Storm Prediction Center (SPC). “This has never happened in the record of SPC watches dating back to 1970.” Not surprisingly in light of the lack of tornado watches, there have also been no actual tornadoes this month.

“We’re in a persistent pattern that suppresses severe weather, and the right ingredients — moisture, instability, and lift — have not been brought together in any consistent way so far this year,” said SPC’s Carbin.

For the calendar year, SPC reports about 28 tornadoes have touched down in the U.S. compared to an average of about 177 year-to-date. Hail and damaging (non-tornadic) wind reports are also way down (just 7 hail reports compared to an average of 372). A hostile pattern for tornadoes has persisted since 2014, one of the least active years for twisters since records began in 1950. 2012 and 2013 also had below normal tornado activity, after 2011, a devastating year for severe weather.

Je suppose que les réchauffistes vont nous dire que leurs modèles climatiques avaient prédit la disparition du temps violent


19 mars 2015

Les cachotteries Coup de gueule Québec Revue de presse

The Globe And Mail

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Charbonneau Commission didn’t publicize claims of illegal donations to Marois’s husband
The Globe And Mail (Sep. 20 2011)

The commission of inquiry into Quebec’s construction industry received precise allegations of illicit political donations to former premier Pauline Marois’s husband, but never brought them to the public’s attention, according to newly released documents.

The revelation, contained in documents filed with Quebec’s press council, raises questions about the Charbonneau Commission’s efforts to get to the bottom of the fundraising system that plagued the province’s politics for years.

Documents filed as part of a dispute in front of Quebec’s press council now raise concerns about the questions asked of witnesses who did appear at the public hearings.

An unnamed senior executive at a major engineering firm told commission investigators that he personally provided $5,000 in cheques to Mr. Blanchet as part of the Parti Québécois’ fundraising efforts in 2008, according to documents filed by Radio-Canada with the Conseil de Presse du Québec.

The donations exceeded the maximum individual donation of $3,000, and the funds were provided as part of a system in which firms unlawfully reimbursed their employees’ donations to political parties, according to Radio-Canada.

Un journal ontarien nous apprend que la commission Charbonneau avait du matériel incriminant sur le couple Marois/Blanchet mais qu’on a décidé de ne pas en parler lors des audiences publiques…

Pourquoi je ne suis pas surpris…


18 mars 2015

Les mirages péquistes Économie Environnement États-Unis Revue de presse

Lincoln Journal Star

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Toyota vs. Tesla: another step for hydrogen
Lincoln Journal Star

Toyota last week officially rolled out what it’s betting will mark « a turning point » in automotive history — a sleek, affordable, eco-friendly « future » car that can drive for 300 miles, takes less than five minutes to charge and comes with three years of free fuel.

Toyota’s Mirai (meaning « future » in Japanese) will be one of if not the first mass-market car to run on hydrogen fuel cells, which convert compressed hydrogen gas to electricity, leaving water vapor as the only exhaust. The sedan will need only about three minutes to get back to full charge, instead of being plugged in all night, like most electric cars, a huge boon for convincing the world’s drivers to convert to a cleaner ride.

But the green technology has found a surprisingly forceful critic in Elon Musk, the electric-car pioneer and founder of Tesla Motors, maker of battery-powered cars like the Model S. Musk has called hydrogen fuel cells « extremely silly » and « fool cells. » His main critique is that hydrogen is too difficult to produce, store and turn efficiently to fuel, diverting attention from better sources of clean energy.

But Toyota, one of Big Auto’s few pioneers of fuel-efficient cars like the Prius hybrid, has not let Musk’s aggression stand. Bob Carter, a Toyota senior vice president, slapped back at Musk and his focus on battery-powered cars: « If I was in a position where I had all my eggs in one basket, I would perhaps be making those same comments. »

The electric-car infighting has opened up a huge division over the future of zero-emission cars. Although they make little sense anywhere else now but California, home of the nation’s few hydrogen refueling stations, Toyota and its home country of Japan are investing heavily into ushering in what Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has called the world’s « hydrogen era. »

Les péquistes sont obsédés par l’électrification des transports, pourtant, on ne sait même pas si la voiture électrique sera celle du futur…

Laisseriez-vous les péquistes prendre un risque énorme en pariant votre argent sur une technologie au futur encore incertain ?


17 mars 2015

La droite l’avait prédit… Économie États-Unis Revue de presse

Seattle Magazine

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Why Are So Many Seattle Restaurants Closing Lately?
Seattle Magazine

Last month—and particularly last week— Seattle foodies were downcast as the blows kept coming: Queen Anne’s Grub closed February 15. Pioneer Square’s Little Uncle shut down February 25. Shanik’s Meeru Dhalwala announced that it will close March 21. Renée Erickson’s Boat Street Café will shutter May 30 after 17 years with her at the helm.

Though none of our local departing/transitioning restaurateurs who announced their plans last month have elaborated on the issue, another major factor affecting restaurant futures in our city is the impending minimum wage hike to $15 per hour. Starting April 1, all businesses must begin to phase in the wage increase: Small employers have seven years to pay all employees at least $15 hourly; large employers (with 500 or more employees) have three.

Since the legislation was announced last summer, The Seattle Times and Eater have reported extensively on restaurant owners’ many concerns about how to compensate for the extra funds that will now be required for labor: They may need to raise menu prices, source poorer ingredients, reduce operating hours, reduce their labor and/or more.

Washington Restaurant Association’s Anton puts it this way: “It’s not a political problem; it’s a math problem.”

Quand Seattle a annoncé l’an dernier qu’elle allait imposer un salaire minimum à 15$, la droite avait annoncé que cette mesure loufoque allait entraîner des mises à pied. La bonne gauche a refusé d’y croire.

Aujourd’hui on peut dire: la droite avait raison.