Antagoniste


10 janvier 2012

Bientôt sur nos écrans: le crash chinois ? Chine Économie Récession Revue de presse

The Washington Post

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Is a Chinese economic slump on the horizon?
The Washington Post

Housing may settle who’s right. China has vastly overinvested in housing, argues Lardy in a new book (“Sustaining China’s Economic Growth After the Global Financial Crisis”). The main reason, he says, is that financial policies prevent savers from realizing adequate returns on their money. The stock market is seen as rigged. Government regulations keep interest rates on bank deposits — the main outlet for savings — low. From 2004 to 2010, they were less than inflation. Frustrated savers invest in housing, where prices are not regulated.

The result seems a classic speculative bubble. People buy because they believe prices will go up; and prices go up because people buy. A 2010 survey found that 18 percent of Beijing households owned two or more properties; another 2010 survey of all cities found that 40 percent of purchases were for investment. Many units, Lardy reports, are vacant because rents in Beijing, Shanghai and other major cities are low.

Unfortunately, booms breed busts. Buyers ultimately recognize that rising prices reflect artificial demand. Purchases slow. Prices fall. New building declines. The process feeds on itself. With modest imbalances, the result is a correction. Otherwise, there’s a crash.

Prédiction: quand la bulle immobilières va éclater en Chine, nos médias vont probablement blâmer le capitalisme au lieu de blâmer l’intervention du gouvernement. En bref, ce sera la répétition des inepties qui ont été dites lors de la crise immobilière américaines.

16 décembre 2011

Le géant aux pieds d’argile Chine Économie Récession Revue de presse

The Daily Telegraph

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China’s epic hangover begins
The Daily Telegraph

China’s credit bubble has finally popped. The property market is swinging wildly from boom to bust, the cautionary exhibit of a BRIC’s dream that is at last coming down to earth with a thud.

It is hard to obtain good data in China, but something is wrong when the country’s Homelink property website can report that new home prices in Beijing fell 35pc in November from the month before. If this is remotely true, the calibrated soft-landing intended by Chinese authorities has gone badly wrong and risks spinning out of control.

The growth of the M2 money supply slumped to 12.7pc in November, the lowest in 10 years. New lending fell 5pc on a month-to-month basis. The central bank has begun to reverse its tightening policy as inflation subsides, cutting the reserve requirement for lenders for the first time since 2008 to ease liquidity strains.

The question is whether the People’s Bank can do any better than the US Federal Reserve or Bank of Japan at deflating a credit bubble.

Chinese stocks are flashing warning signs. The Shanghai index has fallen 30pc since May. It is off 60pc from its peak in 2008, almost as much in real terms as Wall Street from 1929 to 1933.

12 décembre 2011

Encore un échec pour les verts Chine Économie Environnement Revue de presse

Bloomberg BusinessWeek

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China Solar Makers Face Suicidal Prices
Bloomberg BusinessWeek

Losses for China’s largest solar manufacturers, including Suntech Power Holdings Co. and JA Solar Holdings Co. may continue through next year as declining shipments prompt them to slash prices and liquidate inventory.

Cell prices have fallen 59 percent since Dec. 27, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance. Seven Chinese companies reported lower gross margins since yesterday and three said margins have moved into negative territory, an unsustainable level, said Hari Chandra Polavarapu, an analyst at Auriga USA in New York.

“Liquidation is leading to suicidal pricing.” Polavarapu said in an interview today. There are too many solar companies in China, he said, and they are cutting prices to maintain share. Chinese solar manufacturers expanded capacity faster this year while demand growth slowed in Europe, the top regional market.

“Demand has not lived up to expectations and pricing has collapsed over the last three quarters,” Aaron Chew, an analyst at Maxim Group LLC in New York, said today in an interview. “Most of the major cell, wafer and module manufacturers are poised to report four quarters in a row of losses and this is just the first one.”

Le 15 septembre 2009, Thomas Friedman écrivait dans le New York Times: « China has decided that clean-tech is going to be the next great global industry and is now creating a massive domestic market for solar and wind, which will give it a great export platform ». Ce n’est pas la première ni la dernière fois qu’un apôtre de l’énergie verte se trompe…

4 décembre 2011

Si Obama n’en veut pas… Canada Chine Économie Revue de presse

The Vancouver Sun

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Stephen Harper’s bet may pay off
The Vancouver Sun

China is set to embrace Canada’s offer of more crude, heating up competition with the United States as the world’s top two oil consumers jostle to secure supplies and meet ravenous demand.

Shipments from a politically stable country such as Canada will be a welcome diversification of supply sources as top consumers make plans to deal with a supply shock if tensions in the Middle East escalate and choke off Iranian exports, barely a year after markets coped with a disruption from Libya.

Canada’s plan to ship crude to Asia got a boost after Prime Minister Stephen Harper said his nation would step up efforts to supply the region after the United States delayed a decision on a pipeline supply link.

Canada’s oil sands output is expected to double by the end of this decade from 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd) now, according to IHS Cera, close to Libya’s exports before a civil war disrupted output this year.

China, eager to secure extra energy supplies to power its rapidly growing economy, is already buying more Canadian crude.

30 novembre 2011

Et si la Chine s’effondre… Chine Économie En Vidéos Gauchistan

Vous vous inquiétez de la situation en Europe ?  Attendez de voir la situation en Chine…

À ceci, ajoutez que l’indice manufacturier en Chine est à son plus bas niveau en 32 mois et que la croissance du PIB montre des signes d’affaiblissements…

4 novembre 2011

Who is John Galt ? Chine Économie Revue de presse

The Times of India

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China’s young millionaires set to migrate abroad in big numbers
The Times of India

One out of seven young millionaires in China is trying to migrate to other countries despite the country’s massive improvements in infrastructure and living standards, a study supported by the Bank of China, showed.

The 40-page report, released by the bank and the Hurun Research Institute, revealed that 14% of millionaires in 18 cities across China have either applied or are in the process of applying for migration to other countries. It also showed that nearly one-third of them own foreign asserts and a similar number were planning to invest abroad.

One third of the respondents, who have invested overseas, said they did so with the specific purpose of migrating abroad. Half of such investors also said they were trying to obtaining better access to foreign education for their children. More than 60 percent of rich Chinese are in favor of handing over their businesses to their children in future.

13 octobre 2011

Même la Chine est dans le rouge Chine Économie Récession Revue de presse

The Daily Telegraph

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China’s debt spree returns to haunt
The Daily Telegraph

Bail-outs are coming thick and fast in China. In less than a week the authorities have had to step in to prop up the banks, rescue the insolvent railway system and save the near bankrupt city of Wenzhou from a spectacular debt crash.

The Communist Party is now struggling to cope with the fall-out. On Monday, the state investment fund Central Huijin began buying stakes in China’s four top banks to restore confidence and halt the slide in share prices.

China’s finance ministry is quietly intervening to underwrite China’s railway system. This behemoth is drowning with $300bn of debts after breakneck expansion, is in arrears on $25bn of debts to its two largest suppliers and has run out of money to pay workers on the Lanzhou-Chonqing rail project.

Meanwhile, Bejing is negotiating a $15bn bail-out for the enterprise hub of Wenzhou south of Shanghai, where panic has set off a credit crunch for small business and builders. finance. House prices began to fall across the country in September, according to China Index Academy.

27 septembre 2011

Les États-Unis plus communistes que la Chine ? Chine Économie États-Unis Mondialisation Revue de presse

Financial Times

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Coke chief criticises US tax rules
Financial Times

Coca-Cola now sees the US becoming a less friendly business environment than China, its chief executive has revealed, citing political gridlock and an antiquated tax structure as reasons its home market has become less competitive.

Muhtar Kent, Coke’s chief executive, said “in many respects” it was easier doing business in China, comparing the country with a well-managed company. “You have a one-stop shop in terms of the Chinese foreign investment agency and local governments are fighting for investment with each other,” he told the Financial Times.

Mr Kent also pointed to Brazil as an example of an emerging economy that is making itself attractive to investment in ways that the US once did. “They’re learning very fast, these countries,” he said. “In the west, we’re forgetting what really worked 20 years ago. In China and other markets around the world, you see the kind of attention to detail about how business works and how business creates employment.”

Mr Kent argued that US states did not compete enough with each other to attract businesses while Chinese provinces were clamouring to draw investment from international companies. Meanwhile, he said, China’s budget discipline and rapid economic growth made it an appealing place to set up operations.

7 août 2011

La Chine se joint au Tea Party Chine Économie États-Unis Revue de presse

Los Angeles Times

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China demands U.S. ‘live within its means’
Los Angeles Times

China called on the United States to « cure its addiction to debts » and « learn to live within its means » in a searing commentary published Saturday by the official New China News Agency in response to Standard & Poor’s historic downgrading of the U.S. government’s credit rating a day earlier.

China, the largest foreign holder of U.S. federal debt, blamed « short-sighted political wrangling in Washington » for creating the current financial morass that now threatens to undermine the global economy.

« China, the largest creditor of the world’s sole superpower, has every right now to demand the United States to address its structural debt problems and ensure the safety of China’s dollar assets, » the commentary said.

« If no substantial cuts were made to the U.S. gigantic military expenditure and bloated social welfare costs, the downgrade would prove to be only a prelude to more devastating credit rating cuts, which will further roil the global financial markets all along the way, » it continued.

6 juillet 2011

Le charbon: le nouvel ami des écologistes ! Chine Environnement Revue de presse

The Boston Globe

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Global warming pause linked to sulfur in China
The Boston Globe

The answer seems counterintuitive. It's all that sulfur pollution in the air from China's massive coal-burning, according to a new study.

Sulfur particles in the air deflect the sun's rays and can temporarily cool things down a bit. That can happen even as coal-burning produces the carbon dioxide that contributes to global warming.

"People normally just focus on the warming effect of CO2 (carbon dioxide), but during the Chinese economic expansion there was a huge increase in sulfur emissions," which have a cooling effect, explained Robert K. Kaufmann of Boston University. He's the lead author of the study published Monday in Proceedings of the National Academy of Science.

Chinese coal consumption doubled between 2003 and 2007, and that caused a 26 percent increase in global coal consumption, Kaufmann said.

Sulfur's ability to cool things down has led some to suggest using it in a geoengineering feat to cool the planet. The idea is that injecting sulfur compounds very high into the atmosphere might help ease global warming by increasing clouds and haze that would reflect sunlight. Some research has concluded that's a bad idea.

13 juin 2011

L’orage approche… Chine Économie États-Unis Récession Revue de presse

The Straits Times

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China ratings house says US defaulting
The Straits Times

A CHINESE ratings house has accused the United States of defaulting on its massive debt, state media said on Friday, a day after Beijing urged Washington to put its fiscal house in order.

‘In our opinion, the United States has already been defaulting,’ Guan Jianzhong, president of Dagong Global Credit Rating Co Ltd, the only Chinese agency that gives sovereign ratings, was quoted by the Global Times saying.

Washington had already defaulted on its loans by allowing the dollar to weaken against other currencies – eroding the wealth of creditors including China, Mr Guan said.

The US government will run out of room to spend more on August 2 unless Congress bumps up the borrowing limit beyond US$14.29 trillion (S$17.57 trillion) – but Republicans are refusing to support such a move until a deficit cutting deal is reached.

Ratings agency Fitch on Wednesday joined Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s to warn the United States could lose its first-class credit rating if it fails to raise its debt ceiling to avoid defaulting on loans.

A downgrade could sharply raise US borrowing costs, worsening the country’s already dire fiscal position, and send shock waves through the financial world, which has long considered US debt a benchmark among safe-haven investments.

31 mai 2011

L’économie planifiée: un autre échec Canada Chine Économie Mondialisation Revue de presse

The Globe And Mail

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Are China’s factories running out of power?
The Globe And Mail

Why has Global Sticks, a manufacturer of wooden ice cream sticks, moving from Dalian, China, to Thunder Bay, Ontario? It’s the kind of low margin manufacturing that is never supposed to come back after it leaves North America for cheaper labour abroad.

When the price and availability of energy start to dominate your business plan, you say goodbye to your inexpensive Chinese labor force, and pack up and leave.

Of course, not everybody can leave. Those that stay are bracing for what China’s Electricity Association is warning will be the nation’s largest power shortage in years this summer. As many as 20 provinces and territories have already been put on power rationing, including the country’s industrial heartland.

The provincial government in Zhejiang, a manufacturing hub close to Shanghai, has notified 44 major industries about limits on their power consumption. Companies that exceed these limits face prohibitive power tariffs that would threaten much of the region’s low margin manufacturing. The story isn’t any different in Guangdong, south China’s manufacturing hub. Its industries must also cope with limits on power usage.

It won’t be long before all that power rationing starts to curb economic growth, particularly in the power-intensive centres of China’s industrial production such as aluminum and steel.

28 avril 2011

TGV égale cochonnerie inutile et couteuse Chine Économie Gauchistan Revue de presse

The Washington Post

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China’s train wreck
The Washington Post

For the past eight years, Liu Zhijun was one of the most influential people in China. As minister of railways, Liu ran China’s $300?billion high-speed rail project. U.S., European and Japanese contractors jostled for a piece of the business while foreign journalists gushed over China’s latest high-tech marvel.

Today, Liu Zhijun is ruined, and his high-speed rail project is in trouble. On Feb. 25, he was fired for “severe violations of discipline” — code for embezzling tens of millions of dollars. Seems his ministry has run up $271?billion in debt — roughly five times the level that bankrupted General Motors. But ticket sales can’t cover debt service that will total $27.7?billion in 2011 alone. Safety concerns also are cropping up.

Liu’s legacy, in short, is a system that could drain China’s economic resources for years. So much for the grand project that Thomas Friedman of the New York Times likened to a “moon shot” and that President Obama held up as a model for the United States.

The fact is that China’s train wreck was eminently foreseeable. High-speed rail is a capital-intensive undertaking that requires huge borrowing upfront to finance tracks, locomotives and cars, followed by years in which ticket revenue covers debt service — if all goes well. “Any .?.?. shortfall in ridership or yield, can quickly create financial stress,” warns a 2010 World Bank staff report. Such “shortfalls” are all too common. Japan’s bullet trains needed a bailout in 1987. Taiwan’s line opened in 2007 and needed a government rescue in 2009. In France, only the Paris-Lyon high-speed line is in the black.

14 avril 2011

La réalité rattrape la Chine Chine Économie Récession Revue de presse

The Guardian

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Soaring commodity prices push China’s trade balance into the red
The Guardian

The commodities boom has pushed China’s trade balance into the red for the first time since 2004.

Official figures released on Sunday show that the world’s biggest exporter posted a trade deficit of just over $1bn for the first three months of the year.

Surging prices for commodities – as well as strong demand for imported consumer goods such as cars for China’s growing middle classes – were responsible for pushing up the country’s import bill. « The value of imports in the first quarter hit a record high for the first time of more than $400bn, » the government said.

It added that China had imported more mechanical and electrical equipment, including cars, as well as iron ore and soya beans than a year ago and that the prices of those commodities had all soared.

13 avril 2011

Le déclin de l’occident Canada Chine Économie États-Unis Europe France International

Capitalisme

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En 2010, 59% des Américains étaient d’accord pour dire que le libre-marché était le meilleur système économique. En Chine et au Brésil, cette proportion grimpe à 67% !

Pour ceux qui se posent la question, au Canada 59% de la population sont favorables au capitalisme. Avec un score de 68%, l’Allemagne est le pays sondé le plus favorable au libre-marché. Les pays les moins favorables sont la France et la Turquie avec 31% et 27% respectivement.

Source:
Globe Scan
Sharp Drop in American Enthusiasm for Free Market, Poll Shows

24 janvier 2011

Quand Obama reçoit son boss pour le souper… Chine En Citations États-Unis Gauchistan

Rush Limbaugh

Citation de Rush Limbaugh à propos de la visite du président Hu Jintao aux États-Unis:

« The moral code, the moral compass of the state-controlled media is something to behold. Now, some of you may not know the 2009 Nobel Peace Prize winner hosted a state dinner last night (January 19) for Hu Jintao of China. Hu Jintao is holding the 2010 Nobel Peace Prize winner in prison in China. Not making it up. The 2009 Nobel Peace Prize winner hosted a dinner for the guy holding the 2010 Nobel Peace Prize winner in prison, and the media does not get the irony of this at all. They’re too busy running around chasing Sarah Palin and radio talk show hosts over ‘civility’. Our media is so fraudulent. »

19 janvier 2011

Nouveau paradigme Chine Économie Mondialisation Revue de presse

National Post

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Why the yuan is about to become a global currency
National Post

The big message in Hu Jintao’s interview with the WSJ is that China is ready for the yuan to play a larger role in the global economy.

But the interview just caps what was already a big week for the Chinese currency.

For example, China said for the first time that it will low foreign investors to participate in yuan-denominated private equity vehicles.

On Tuesday the Bank of China said it would enable yuan trading for US investors.

Last Friday, China greenlighted the first foreign investments in its banking sector in years, as JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley won permits.

Meanwhile, the first-ever yuan-denominated hedge fund will be launched by Pharo Management.

Bottom line: The Hu interview made clear what China has been announcing for awhile. Expect a lot more.

5 janvier 2011

Les bailouts: le nouveau colonialisme Chine Économie Europe Récession Revue de presse

The Sydney Morning Herald

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China backs Spain to emerge from crisis
The Sydney Morning Herald

China is confident Spain will recover from its economic crisis and Beijing will buy Spanish public debt despite market fears of an Irish-style bailout, a top Chinese official said Monday.

The comments by Vice Premier Li Keqiang were made in an op-ed piece in Spain’s leading daily El Pais one day ahead of his arrival in Madrid for a three-day official visit, the start of a European tour that will also include Britain and Germany.

« Since China is a responsible investor country in the long-term on the European financial markets, and in particular in Spain, we have confidence in the Spanish financial market, which has been translated into the acquisition of its public debt, something we will continue to do in the future, » he said.

Chinese state media on Monday also quoted Beijing’s ambassador to Madrid as saying China is willing to make « positive efforts » to help Spain with its economic recovery.

Li’s meetings this week with Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero and Finance Minister Elena Salgado will « play a key role » in financial stabilisation, Xinhua news agency quoted the ambassador, Zhu Bangzao, as saying.

16 décembre 2010

Le début de la fin ? Chine Économie États-Unis Revue de presse

The New York Times

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Sidestepping the U.S. Dollar, a Russian Exchange Will Swap Rubles and Renminbi
The New York Times

Russia and China are poised to take a small but symbolic step in their expanding economic relationship, a move that in the long term could make the dollar less relevant to business between the two nations.

Moscow securities exchange is scheduled to open direct trading between the Chinese currency, the renminbi, and the Russian ruble. If the market develops, it could eventually cut the dollar out of a portion of Russian and Chinese trade.

Although China’s business with Russia is only a sliver of what it does with the United States, there is room to grow: Russia is the world’s largest energy exporting nation, and China a big consumer as the world’s second-largest economy, behind the United States. And yet when a railroad tanker of Russian oil crosses the border into China, the transaction is settled in dollars.

The new currency exchange is meant to start changing that. The trading system will operate through the Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange, or Micex, which is Russia’s largest stock exchange and also handles foreign currency transactions. It will be the first trading in the Chinese currency outside mainland China and Hong Kong.

In the long term, if other nations moved in the same direction, trading in renminbi outside China could diminish demand for the dollar. Chinese companies exporting to Russia or other countries could instead buy local currency directly, without the need for dollars as a common currency to conduct their business.

20 octobre 2010

Guerre commerciale Chine Économie États-Unis Revue de presse

The New York Times

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China Said to Widen Its Embargo of Minerals
The New York Times

China, which has been blocking shipments of crucial minerals to Japan for the last month, has now quietly halted shipments of those materials to the United States and Europe, three industry officials said on Tuesday.

The Chinese action, involving rare earth minerals that are crucial to manufacturing many advanced products, seems certain to further intensify already rising trade and currency tensions with the West. Until recently, China typically sought quick and quiet accommodations on trade issues. But the interruption in rare earth supplies is the latest sign from Beijing that Chinese leaders are willing to use their growing economic muscle.

China mines 95 percent of the world’s rare earth elements, which have broad commercial and military applications, and are vital to the manufacture of products as diverse as cellphones, large wind turbines and guided missiles. Any curtailment of Chinese supplies of rare earths is likely to be greeted with alarm in Western capitals, particularly because Western companies are believed to keep much smaller stockpiles of rare earths than Japanese companies.

The signals of a tougher Chinese trade stance come after American trade officials announced on Friday that they would investigate whether China was violating World Trade Organization rules by subsidizing its clean energy exports and limiting clean energy imports.

11 octobre 2010

Entre dictateurs, on se comprend Chine Gauchistan Revue de presse Venezuela

Star Tribune

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Hugo Chavez backs China in its complaints over Nobel Peace Prize going to jailed dissident
Star Tribune

Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez expressed solidarity with China’s government Sunday over the awarding of the Nobel Peace Prize to a jailed Chinese dissident.

He suggested the prize should not have gone to Liu Xiaobo, who has drawn praise from Western governments as an advocate of gradual political change without any violent confrontation with Chinese leaders.

Speaking in his weekly radio and television program, Chavez scoffed at his Venezuelan political opponents who praised the giving of the peace prize to Liu. Chavez said the opposition’s support for the prize showed that « they are lackeys » of the West. « They are worse than the Yankees. »

« Our greetings and solidarity go to the government of the People’s Republic of China, » Chavez said, adding: « Viva China! And its sovereignty, its independence and its greatness. » The Chinese government reacted angrily to the announcement of the peace prize for Liu. It said the Norwegian Nobel Committee violated its own principles by honoring a « criminal. »

Chavez’s government has intensified its diplomatic and trade relations with China as part of Chavez’s effort to diversify sales of the country’s oil. The United States, which Chavez accuses of trying to dominate the region, remains the biggest buyer of Venezuelan oil.

22 septembre 2010

Obamanomics Chine Économie En Chiffres États-Unis Hétu Watch

Non seulement Barack Obama est fier de son bilan économique, mais il a eu l’arrogance/ la stupidité de demander aux Tea Party d’identifier les solutions aux problèmes qu’ils dénoncent.

Mes solutions pour le président Obama ?  Et si le président prenait les mesures pour s’assurer que son pays soit moins communiste que la Chine…  Voici comment le Forum Économique Mondial classe les États-Unis par rapport à la Chine (rang occupé sur 139 pays):

Obamanomics

Voici comment se compare la dernière année de Bush à la présente année d’Obama:

Obamanomics

Obama fait pire que Bush, même si ce dernier a toujours eu tendance à pencher à gauche sur les questions économiques !

P.-S. Un sondage Rasmussen publié mardi montre que 52% de l’électorat américain estiment que leurs idées sont plus proches de celles de Sarah Palin que de celles de Barack Obama.  Seulement 40% des Américains considèrent que leurs idées sont plus proches que celles du président que de celles de l’ancienne colistière de John McCain.

Source:
Forum Économique Mondial
Centre for Global Competitiveness and Performance

19 septembre 2010

Crime d’État Chine Gauchistan Revue de presse

The Independent

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Mao’s Great Leap Forward ‘killed 45 million in four years’
The Independent

Mao Zedong, founder of the People’s Republic of China, qualifies as the greatest mass murderer in world history, an expert who had unprecedented access to official Communist Party archives said yesterday.

Speaking at The Independent Woodstock Literary Festival, Frank Dikötter, a Hong Kong-based historian, said he found that during the time that Mao was enforcing the Great Leap Forward in 1958, in an effort to catch up with the economy of the Western world, he was responsible for overseeing « one of the worst catastrophes the world has ever known ».

Mr Dikötter, who has been studying Chinese rural history from 1958 to 1962, when the nation was facing a famine, compared the systematic torture, brutality, starvation and killing of Chinese peasants to the Second World War in its magnitude. At least 45 million people were worked, starved or beaten to death in China over these four years; the worldwide death toll of the Second World War was 55 million.

Mr Dikötter is the only author to have delved into the Chinese archives since they were reopened four years ago. He argued that this devastating period of history – which has until now remained hidden – has international resonance. « It ranks alongside the gulags and the Holocaust as one of the three greatest events of the 20th century…. It was like Pol Pot’s genocide multiplied 20 times over, » he said.

18 août 2010

Sauve qui peut ! Chine Économie États-Unis Récession Revue de presse

The Sydney Morning Herald

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China cuts US Treasury holdings by the most ever
The Sydney Morning Herald

China cut its holdings of US Treasury notes and bonds by the most ever, raising speculation a plunge in US yields has made government securities unattractive.

The nation’s holdings of long-term Treasuries fell in June for the first time in 15 months, dropping by $US21.2 billion to $US839.7 billion ($940 billion), a US government report showed yesterday. Two-year yields headed for a fifth monthly decline in August, falling today to a record 0.48 per cent.

« Buying now is a big risk, » said Hiroki Shimazu, an economist in Tokyo at Nikko Cordial Securities, a unit of Japan’s third-largest publicly traded bank. « I don’t recommend it. »

Investors who purchased two-year notes today would lose 0.4 per cent if the yield projection is correct, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

9 août 2010

Libéralisation Chine Économie Revue de presse

San Francisco Chronicle

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China to Further Open Gold Market to Trading, Imports
San Francisco Chronicle

China will allow more commercial banks to export and import gold and permit increased participation by foreign companies in the market, the People’s Bank of China said.

China will improve foreign-exchange policies related to the gold markets, the central bank said in a statement today on its website. The statement didn’t give a timeframe. The government is also studying allowing foreign suppliers to deliver bullion directly to the Shanghai Gold Exchange, it said.

« The Chinese central bank is liberalizing the gold market step by step and this is the latest move, » said Ellison Chu, managing director at the precious-metals desk at Standard Bank Asia Ltd. in Hong Kong. « It will allow more foreign participation in China’s growing gold market and it will also help China to be more integrated into the global gold-trading system. »

The central bank also said it would encourage and guide commercial banks to provide yuan-denominated gold derivative trading.