National Journal

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Democrats Fear Obamacare Will Cost Them The Senate
National Journal

For Democrats, the politics of the health care law are creating a death spiral of their own. For the White House to protect its signature initiative, it needs to maintain a Democratic Senate majority past 2015.

Race-by-race polling conducted over the last month has painted a grim picture of the difficult environment Senate Democrats are facing next year. In Louisiana, a new state survey showed Landrieu’s approval rating is now underwater; she tallied only 41 percent of the vote against her GOP opposition. In Arkansas, Sen. Mark Pryor’s approval sank to 33 percent, a drop of 18 points since last year. Sen. Mark Udall of Colorado, who looked like a lock for reelection last month, in a dead heat against little-known GOP opponents. Even a Democratic automated poll from Public Policy Polling showed Sen. Kay Hagan of North Carolina running neck-and-neck against Republican opposition, with her job disapproval spiking over the last two months. These are the types of numbers that wave elections are made of.

The big picture isn’t any better: The president’s approval rating, which historically correlates with his party’s midterm performance, has dipped below 40 percent in several national surveys. Democrats saw their nine-point lead on the generic ballot evaporate in a month.

Vous savez ce qui est vraiment drôle dans toute cette histoire ?

Il y a à peine deux mois, lorsque les républicains ont déclenché le shutdown, les grands talents dans tous les médias ont prédit que c’était la mort du GOP. Aujourd’hui, plus personne ne parle du shutdown et la législation phare du président Obama est en train de couler son parti.

Bref, les pages d’analyse politique dans nos grands journaux ne valent pas mieux que la section horoscope.

P.-S. L’abolition du filibuster par le sénat démocrate risque bien d’être un cadeau fait au républicain si jamais ils reprennent le contrôle du sénat en 2014.