Global warming at a standstill, new Met Office figures show
A new scientific model has revised previous figures for the next five years downwards by around a fifth. The forecast compares how much higher average world temperatures are likely to be than the “long-term average” from 1971-2000. It had been thought that this would be 0.54C during the period 2012 -2016 but new data puts the figure for the 2013-2017 period at 0.43C.
This figure is little higher than the 0.40C recorded in 1998, the warmest year in the Met Office Hadley Centre’s 160-year record – suggesting global warming will have stalled in the intervening two-decade period. The new annual forecast, published on December 24, is the first to make use of the Met Office’s latest climate model, HadGEM3, which it said “includes a comprehensive set of improvements based on the latest scientific understanding”.
It suggests that global average temperature will remain between 0.28C and 0.59C above the long-term average “with values most likely to be about 0.43C higher than average”.
The Met Office has downgraded its forecast for global warming to suggest that by 2017 temperatures will have remained about the same for two decades.
Et pendant ce temps on fait croire aux unilingues francophonies du Québec que le réchauffement global est une réalité, car il a fait plus chaud aux… États-Unis… Le réchauffement global serait donc une affaire… américaine…